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Posted: 01:31 PM 07 November 2008 | 16 Comments | Add Comment | Newest: 10:33 AM 13-Nov EDT
Paloma is just about a memory now after making it to Cat 4 for a short time. For now things seem to fit right in with the end of the season nearing. We will see.
Hurricane Paloma is now a Cat 4 hurricane with winds to 135 mph. It is nearing the Little Caymans as of 5:30am EST.
Hurricane Paloma, currently a Category 1 Hurricane, is approaching Grand Cayman, and should move somewhat slowly over it and Cuba and perhaps strengthen into a major Hurricane before landfalling in Cuba.
Once past Cuba it should head generally northeastward away from the US. As it passes over Cuba the forward speed of Paloma is in doubt, depending on how much of it survives Cuba. We'll be watching.

'Cuban Radar Mosaic Recording of Paloma Approach
San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static)
StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands
Hurricane Paloma is now a Cat 4 hurricane with winds to 135 mph. It is nearing the Little Caymans as of 5:30am EST.
Hurricane Paloma, currently a Category 1 Hurricane, is approaching Grand Cayman, and should move somewhat slowly over it and Cuba and perhaps strengthen into a major Hurricane before landfalling in Cuba.
Once past Cuba it should head generally northeastward away from the US. As it passes over Cuba the forward speed of Paloma is in doubt, depending on how much of it survives Cuba. We'll be watching.

'Cuban Radar Mosaic Recording of Paloma Approach
San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static)
StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands
Caribbean Weather Observations
Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)
Martinique Radar
Leeward Island cams (HurricaneCity)
Paloma Event Related Links
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Paloma
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
(More Tracking Information)
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Paloma
(Animated!)
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Paloma
(Animated!)
More model runs on from Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Paloma -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop),
WV (Loop),
Dvorak (Loop),
AVN (Loop),
RGB (Loop),
Rainbow (Loop)
Latest Meteorologist Blog
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Update - Friday, 1PM CDT
Hurricane Ike now about 165 miles southeast of Galveston and the forward motion is becoming more northwesterly at 10 knots. This motion is likely to continue and should place Ike onshore near Crystal Beach in the Galveston area around 3AM CDT early Saturday morning - probably as a strong Category II hurricane.
ED
Original Article
Hurricane Ike, now at 85 knots, continues to move toward the north central Texas coast. Ike has a most unusual structure with an outer wind maxima - at times resembling a secondary eye within the eyewall (and sometimes two of these) rotating around the inner center of the hurricane. This structure expands the field of maximum winds considerably - rather than just a smaller area around the center - and if this structure should continue for the next 36 hours or so, the risk of any significant intensification seems unlikely.
Similar to Gustav, and to a lesser extent Fay, the inner core of Ike has not recovered after its second landfall over western Cuba and Ike's entrance into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Perhaps a combination of factors created the unusual structure of this storm - the pull from the shortwave that passed to the north, the dry air entrainment from the west through southwest (that still continues to some degree) and the significant expansion of the storm itself are possible contributing factors. Ike will certainly become an interesting future case study.
Although unusual in appearance, Ike is still a storm that presents many dangers. Even if the intensity remains unchanged, these additional wind maxima will greatly expand the area of highest winds upon landfall to an area much larger than that which would normally be expected. From the precise point of landfall (which now appears to be in the vicinity of Sargent, Texas) the zone of strong winds could extend from 30 miles to the south to 45 miles to the north. NHC notes that there is still plenty of time for the center to contract and the hurricane to intensify. It is also within the realm of possibility for Ike to form a 50 to 60 mile wide eye prior to landfall. Ike is one storm where the axiom 'don't just pay attention to the point of landfall' is very important.
ED
Hurricane Ike now about 165 miles southeast of Galveston and the forward motion is becoming more northwesterly at 10 knots. This motion is likely to continue and should place Ike onshore near Crystal Beach in the Galveston area around 3AM CDT early Saturday morning - probably as a strong Category II hurricane.
ED
Original Article
Hurricane Ike, now at 85 knots, continues to move toward the north central Texas coast. Ike has a most unusual structure with an outer wind maxima - at times resembling a secondary eye within the eyewall (and sometimes two of these) rotating around the inner center of the hurricane. This structure expands the field of maximum winds considerably - rather than just a smaller area around the center - and if this structure should continue for the next 36 hours or so, the risk of any significant intensification seems unlikely.
Similar to Gustav, and to a lesser extent Fay, the inner core of Ike has not recovered after its second landfall over western Cuba and Ike's entrance into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Perhaps a combination of factors created the unusual structure of this storm - the pull from the shortwave that passed to the north, the dry air entrainment from the west through southwest (that still continues to some degree) and the significant expansion of the storm itself are possible contributing factors. Ike will certainly become an interesting future case study.
Although unusual in appearance, Ike is still a storm that presents many dangers. Even if the intensity remains unchanged, these additional wind maxima will greatly expand the area of highest winds upon landfall to an area much larger than that which would normally be expected. From the precise point of landfall (which now appears to be in the vicinity of Sargent, Texas) the zone of strong winds could extend from 30 miles to the south to 45 miles to the north. NHC notes that there is still plenty of time for the center to contract and the hurricane to intensify. It is also within the realm of possibility for Ike to form a 50 to 60 mile wide eye prior to landfall. Ike is one storm where the axiom 'don't just pay attention to the point of landfall' is very important.
ED
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Other commentary from Independentwx, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update, Accuweather/Joe Bastardi & etc. Tropical Outlook Videos on Yahoo, Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Mike Watkins , Hurricane City, mpittweather, WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Hardcoreweather, Suncam TV (Streaming Video/cams), NWHHC, Jeff Masters (Weather Underground) , StormPulse (Matthew Wensing), , Max Mayfield, Bryan Woods/Stormtrack
Even more on the links page.
Skeetobite's storm track maps
NRL-Monteray (Nice Tracking Maps, Invest, and Satellite Images)
Alternate NRL-Monterey (Nice Tracking Maps and Satellite
Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.
Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation - SST Forecast.
Storms From Previous Years (Unisys)
IR - Vis - WV - Loop - TWC IR - Color IR - Loop - SSTs - Buoy
NASA MSFC North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images, RAMSDIS Satellite Images (rapid-scan imagery)
Full Western Hemisphere Sat Animation
Buoy Data, QuikScat oceanic wind data, Dvorak Estimates , TAFB/TPC Analysis
Caribbean Weather Observations
Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
FSU: CMC, GFDL, GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET, MM5; Phase Analysis
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFS, RUC, ETA
NCEP models NAM, GFS, WW3, NGM
Other commentary from Independentwx, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update, Accuweather/Joe Bastardi & etc. Tropical Outlook Videos on Yahoo, Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Mike Watkins , Hurricane City, mpittweather, WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Hardcoreweather, Suncam TV (Streaming Video/cams), NWHHC, Jeff Masters (Weather Underground) , StormPulse (Matthew Wensing), , Max Mayfield, Bryan Woods/Stormtrack
Even more on the links page.
